The Magazines have spoken, at least the ones that I trust, about the 2008 NFL season. What follows are their projections for the upcoming season, which kicks off in a week.
Pro Football Weekly (which joined forces with CBSSports.com) predicts New England beating Dallas in the Super Bowl.
Here is its division-by-division breakdown:
AFC East
1. New England; 2. Buffalo; 3. NY Jets; 4. Miami
AFC North
1. Cleveland; 2. Pittsburgh; 3. Cincinnati; 4. Baltimore
AFC South
1. Indianapolis; 2. Jacksonville; 3. Houston; 4. Tennessee
AFC West
1. San Diego; 2. Denver; 3. Oakland; 4. Kansas City
NFC East
1. Dallas; 2. NY Giants; 3. Philadelphia; 4. Washington
NFC North
1. Green Bay; 2. Minnesota; 3. Chicago; 4. Detroit
NFC South
1. New Orleans; 2. Carolina; 3. Tampa Bay; 4. Atlanta
NFC West
1. Seattle; 2. Arizona; 3. St. Louis; 4. San Francisco
Analysis: I wonder about Cleveland and Green Bay winning their divisions, and there are some orders of division picks that I question.
The Sporting News, which merged with Street and Smith's, sees the Chargers defeating Dallas in the Super Bowl.
AFC East
1. New England; 2. NY Jets; 3. Buffalo; 4. Miami
AFC North
1. Pittsburgh; 2. Cincinnati; 3. Cleveland; 4. Baltimore
AFC South
1. Indianapolis; 2. Jacksonville; 3. Tennessee; 4. Houston
AFC West
1. San Diego; 2. Denver; 3. Kansas City; 4. Oakland
NFC East
1. Dallas; 2. NY Giants; 3. Philadelphia; 4. Washington
NFC North
1. Green Bay; 2. Chicago; 3. Minnesota; 4. Detroit
NFC South
1. New Orleans; 2. Tampa Bay; 3. Carolina; 4. Atlanta
NFC West
1. Seattle; 2. St. Louis; 3. Arizona; 4. San Francisco
Analysis: Of the three, this is the most solid to me with a few exceptions. I don't see the Rams or Bengals finishing nearly that high or the Vikings that low.
And Sports Illustrated foresees New England defeating Philadelphia in the Super Bowl
AFC East
1. New England; 2. NY Jets; 3. Buffalo; 4. Miami
AFC North
1.Pittsburgh; 2. Cleveland; 3. Baltimore; 4. Cincinnati
AFC South
1. Indianapolis; 2. Jacksonville; 3. Tennessee; 4. Houston
AFC West
1. San Diego; 2. Denver; 3. Kansas City; 4. Oakland
NFC East
1. Philadelphia; 2. Dallas; 3. NY Giants; 4. Washington
NFC North
1. Minnesota; 2. Green Bay; 3. Detroit; 4. Chicago
NFC South
1. Tampa Bay; 2. Carolina; 3. New Orleans; 4. Atlanta
NFC West
1. Seattle; 2. Arizona; 3. San Francisco; 4. St. Louis
Analysis: Every season SI should preface Dr. Z's picks by disclosing his heavy East Coast bias. How else does one explain the Eagles winning the NFC East over Dallas? Putting Tennessee in the playoffs again this year seems a reach to me, too.
Consensus division winners:
AFC East - New England
AFC South - Indianapolis
AFC West - San Diego
NFC West - Seattle
Other consensus playoff teams - NY Giants, Jacksonville, Dallas.
Coming up: My AFC and NFC breakdowns and predictions
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
Friday, September 28, 2007
NFL Week 4
Everywhere you look this weekend there are intriguing storylines in NFL games.
Start with the eight intradivision games:
In the AFC, the former Browns (Baltimore Ravens) play the current Browns, who have been sparked by a former Raven (RB Jamal Lewis). Got it? ... The Chiefs visit the Chargers in a battle of two disappointing teams seeking to avoid 1-3 starts in the West. ... And the banged-up Bills play host to a Jets team that can get itself back in the hunt in the East with a second consecutive East victory.
In the NFC, the Central team pair off. Brett Favre can set the all-time touchdown pass record in Minnesota, but more importantly, the Packers can improve to 4-0 with a victory over the Vikings. Meanwhile, the banged-up Bears (who might be without DL Tommie Harris, LB Lance Briggs and three-fourths of their starting secondary) turn to QB Brian Griese at Detroit, where the Lions can score points in bunches but also give them up in bunches. ... In the East, the Eagles and Giants are coming off their first victories, and both need one here to keep pace with the Cowboys. ... In the South and the West, first place is on the line when the Bucs visit the Panthers and the Seahawks pay a call on the 49ers.
ALL IN THE FAMILY
Pittsburgh (3-0) at Arizona (1-2): The Steelers pay a visit to the desert and renew acquaintances with the two assistants passed over for their head coaching vacancy in favor of Coach Mike Tomlin (Ken Whisenhunt and Russ Grimm).
Houston (2-1) at Atlanta (0-3): The Matt Schaub Bowl. Think the Falcons regret trading the QB now?
THAT 70s SHOW (aka GAMES OF THE WEAK)
Turn back the clock three decades and you'd have two marquee matchups - the Raiders at the Dolphins and the Rams at the Cowboys. Instead you get the Games of the Weak.
Oakland (1-2) will start Daunte Culpepper at QB against one of his former teams, Miami (0-3). The Raiders have established a running game with LaMont Jordan, and RB Ronnie Brown showed signs of life for the Dolphins last week. Whomever gets the best of that battle against two decent defenses likely will lead his team to victory.
The beleagured Rams (0-3) will be without two of their top offensive linemen and RB Steven Jackson against a Cowboys team (3-0) that is clicking on all cylinders. Compounding things for St. Louis are QB Marc Bulger's broken ribs and the Rams defense's inability to stop anything. It won't be pretty.
GAMES OF THE WEEK:
Denver (2-1) at Indianapolis (3-0): The Broncos have to run the ball well and control the clock to have a chance. Running might be a strategy the Colts want to adhere to this week - Denver's secondary is good, but the Broncos can't stop the run.
New England (3-0) at Cincinnati (1-2): I think the Patriots will win, particularly if Bengals RB Rudi Johnson can't play, but this Monday night game will be a blast to watch because of all the points being scored. I expect to see at least 70.
UPSET SPECIAL:
Oakland over Miami. Yes, the Dolphins are favored, but I think the Raiders might be better than many (including yours truly) expected at the beginning of the season. Unless Ronnie Brown has a huge day running the ball and Miami can force at least three turnovers, I think Oakland will win handily.
Upset season record: 2-1.
TAKING A BREAK: New Orleans, Washington, Jacksonville and Tennessee.
Start with the eight intradivision games:
In the AFC, the former Browns (Baltimore Ravens) play the current Browns, who have been sparked by a former Raven (RB Jamal Lewis). Got it? ... The Chiefs visit the Chargers in a battle of two disappointing teams seeking to avoid 1-3 starts in the West. ... And the banged-up Bills play host to a Jets team that can get itself back in the hunt in the East with a second consecutive East victory.
In the NFC, the Central team pair off. Brett Favre can set the all-time touchdown pass record in Minnesota, but more importantly, the Packers can improve to 4-0 with a victory over the Vikings. Meanwhile, the banged-up Bears (who might be without DL Tommie Harris, LB Lance Briggs and three-fourths of their starting secondary) turn to QB Brian Griese at Detroit, where the Lions can score points in bunches but also give them up in bunches. ... In the East, the Eagles and Giants are coming off their first victories, and both need one here to keep pace with the Cowboys. ... In the South and the West, first place is on the line when the Bucs visit the Panthers and the Seahawks pay a call on the 49ers.
ALL IN THE FAMILY
Pittsburgh (3-0) at Arizona (1-2): The Steelers pay a visit to the desert and renew acquaintances with the two assistants passed over for their head coaching vacancy in favor of Coach Mike Tomlin (Ken Whisenhunt and Russ Grimm).
Houston (2-1) at Atlanta (0-3): The Matt Schaub Bowl. Think the Falcons regret trading the QB now?
THAT 70s SHOW (aka GAMES OF THE WEAK)
Turn back the clock three decades and you'd have two marquee matchups - the Raiders at the Dolphins and the Rams at the Cowboys. Instead you get the Games of the Weak.
Oakland (1-2) will start Daunte Culpepper at QB against one of his former teams, Miami (0-3). The Raiders have established a running game with LaMont Jordan, and RB Ronnie Brown showed signs of life for the Dolphins last week. Whomever gets the best of that battle against two decent defenses likely will lead his team to victory.
The beleagured Rams (0-3) will be without two of their top offensive linemen and RB Steven Jackson against a Cowboys team (3-0) that is clicking on all cylinders. Compounding things for St. Louis are QB Marc Bulger's broken ribs and the Rams defense's inability to stop anything. It won't be pretty.
GAMES OF THE WEEK:
Denver (2-1) at Indianapolis (3-0): The Broncos have to run the ball well and control the clock to have a chance. Running might be a strategy the Colts want to adhere to this week - Denver's secondary is good, but the Broncos can't stop the run.
New England (3-0) at Cincinnati (1-2): I think the Patriots will win, particularly if Bengals RB Rudi Johnson can't play, but this Monday night game will be a blast to watch because of all the points being scored. I expect to see at least 70.
UPSET SPECIAL:
Oakland over Miami. Yes, the Dolphins are favored, but I think the Raiders might be better than many (including yours truly) expected at the beginning of the season. Unless Ronnie Brown has a huge day running the ball and Miami can force at least three turnovers, I think Oakland will win handily.
Upset season record: 2-1.
TAKING A BREAK: New Orleans, Washington, Jacksonville and Tennessee.
Friday, September 21, 2007
NFL Week 3
In this week's edition of Sports Illustrated, NFL writer Peter King, who is one of the most decent, hard-working men in the business, writes a piece about the "code" among NFL coaches and how the Jets' Eric Mangini broke that by turning in the Patriots and Bill Belichick for their video spy tactics.
Unnamed source after unnamed source said how bad it was, what a slap in the face it was to Belichick, who helped jump start Mangini's career. Without directly saying it, the piece inferred it's irresponsible to turn in a former mentor for cheating. And let's call it what it is. Belichick and the Patriots cheated. Whether it affected the outcome of the game or whether or not any other teams do it (they do) isn't pertinent for argument's sake.
Also cited was a time when Mangini and the Jets signed a player, a free agent, off the Patriots' roster whom Belichick wanted to retain. That also broke the "code", according to King.
And what of Mangini? Doesn't he have a responsibility to the guys who sign his paycheck? The fans who make that paycheck possible? And to the 53 men plus staffers he faces each week on the field and in the locker room? That responsibility counts for more than " the code" - it's just that few, including King unfortunately, seem to get that.
GAME OF THE WEEK
Chicago (1-1) at Dallas (2-0): The Bears have allowed the fewest points in the NFC, the Cowboys score an average of 13 more per game than any other NFC team. What will give? It comes down to can the Bears establish a ground game to control the clock, and can QB Rex Grossman he limit his mistakes?
GAMES WORTH A PEEK
San Diego (1-1) at Green Bay (2-0): The Packers have two wins over playoff teams from a year ago in two weeks. Their defense and special teams have been so strong they've helped overcome a non-existent running game and a passing game that relies on dink-and-dunk plays. The Chargers are smarting after a rough Week 1 victory over the Bears and a rougher Week 2 loss in New England. LaDainian Tomlinson really can't have three bad games in a row, can he? He has to carry the load, literally, because QB Philip Rivers appears to have no feel for the rush and he's going to see a lot of it.
San Francisco (2-0) at Pittsburth (2-0): The team of the 80s faces the team of the 70s. The 49ers defense was dealt a blow when LB Manny Lawson was lost for the season with a knee injury. If the Steelers stop RB Frank Gore, they'll roll because the Pittsburgh offense appears formidable. So much for new coach Mike Tomlin's break-in period.
Indianapolis (2-0) at Houston (2-0): Yes, the AFC South title might be on the line. OK, that's an exaggeration, but if the Texans beat the Super Bowl champs, they will have an early lead in the division and stamp themselves a legitimate playoff contender. Unfortunately for the Texans, star WR Andre Johnson will miss the game because of injury. Houston beat Indy at home last season without QB Matt Schaub, however, and he has been a difference-maker for the Texans offense.
GAMES OF THE WEAK
Miami (0-2) at NY Jets (0-2): The good news is one of these teams will pick up a victory. The bad news: They more than likely will still be two games behind the Patriots.
Cleveland (1-1) at Oakland (0-2): Unlike last week, when the Browns rang up 51 points on Cincinnati's crummy defense, they face a team with a real defense. The problem for the Raiders is their offense (RB LaMont Jordan being the exception).
UPSET SPECIAL
Jacksonville (1-1) at Denver (2-0): What's puzzling about the Jaguars is their lack of a running game thus far (they're ranked 21st). The Broncos lead the NFL in yards and are second in yards allowed, yet they've scored just 38 points in two games and have needed a last-second field goal and an overtime field goal to beat teams that are a combined 0-2. I like the Jaguars to take it.
Last week: The Dolphins hung tough for about two and a half quarters then disintegrated vs. the Cowboys, making me 1-1 in upset picks.
Unnamed source after unnamed source said how bad it was, what a slap in the face it was to Belichick, who helped jump start Mangini's career. Without directly saying it, the piece inferred it's irresponsible to turn in a former mentor for cheating. And let's call it what it is. Belichick and the Patriots cheated. Whether it affected the outcome of the game or whether or not any other teams do it (they do) isn't pertinent for argument's sake.
Also cited was a time when Mangini and the Jets signed a player, a free agent, off the Patriots' roster whom Belichick wanted to retain. That also broke the "code", according to King.
And what of Mangini? Doesn't he have a responsibility to the guys who sign his paycheck? The fans who make that paycheck possible? And to the 53 men plus staffers he faces each week on the field and in the locker room? That responsibility counts for more than " the code" - it's just that few, including King unfortunately, seem to get that.
GAME OF THE WEEK
Chicago (1-1) at Dallas (2-0): The Bears have allowed the fewest points in the NFC, the Cowboys score an average of 13 more per game than any other NFC team. What will give? It comes down to can the Bears establish a ground game to control the clock, and can QB Rex Grossman he limit his mistakes?
GAMES WORTH A PEEK
San Diego (1-1) at Green Bay (2-0): The Packers have two wins over playoff teams from a year ago in two weeks. Their defense and special teams have been so strong they've helped overcome a non-existent running game and a passing game that relies on dink-and-dunk plays. The Chargers are smarting after a rough Week 1 victory over the Bears and a rougher Week 2 loss in New England. LaDainian Tomlinson really can't have three bad games in a row, can he? He has to carry the load, literally, because QB Philip Rivers appears to have no feel for the rush and he's going to see a lot of it.
San Francisco (2-0) at Pittsburth (2-0): The team of the 80s faces the team of the 70s. The 49ers defense was dealt a blow when LB Manny Lawson was lost for the season with a knee injury. If the Steelers stop RB Frank Gore, they'll roll because the Pittsburgh offense appears formidable. So much for new coach Mike Tomlin's break-in period.
Indianapolis (2-0) at Houston (2-0): Yes, the AFC South title might be on the line. OK, that's an exaggeration, but if the Texans beat the Super Bowl champs, they will have an early lead in the division and stamp themselves a legitimate playoff contender. Unfortunately for the Texans, star WR Andre Johnson will miss the game because of injury. Houston beat Indy at home last season without QB Matt Schaub, however, and he has been a difference-maker for the Texans offense.
GAMES OF THE WEAK
Miami (0-2) at NY Jets (0-2): The good news is one of these teams will pick up a victory. The bad news: They more than likely will still be two games behind the Patriots.
Cleveland (1-1) at Oakland (0-2): Unlike last week, when the Browns rang up 51 points on Cincinnati's crummy defense, they face a team with a real defense. The problem for the Raiders is their offense (RB LaMont Jordan being the exception).
UPSET SPECIAL
Jacksonville (1-1) at Denver (2-0): What's puzzling about the Jaguars is their lack of a running game thus far (they're ranked 21st). The Broncos lead the NFL in yards and are second in yards allowed, yet they've scored just 38 points in two games and have needed a last-second field goal and an overtime field goal to beat teams that are a combined 0-2. I like the Jaguars to take it.
Last week: The Dolphins hung tough for about two and a half quarters then disintegrated vs. the Cowboys, making me 1-1 in upset picks.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)